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Forecasting the local progression of the Covid-19 epidemic

Combining ideas from several fields of mathematics - tropical geometry, Perron-Frobenius theory, probability and optimisation, transport PDE in population dynamics - a new study provides an algorithm to monitor the epidemic based on medical emergency calls.

The study has its empirical basis in the evolution of the Covid-19 epidemic during the crisis of March-April 2020 in the Paris area, by analyzing the medical emergency calls received by the EMS of the four central departments of this area (Centre 15 of SAMU 75, 92, 93 and 94).

Link to the study here.

Posted by Jörgen Weibull,




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