Forecasting the local progression of the Covid-19 epidemic
Combining ideas from several fields of mathematics - tropical geometry, Perron-Frobenius theory, probability and optimisation, transport PDE in population dynamics - a new study provides an algorithm to monitor the epidemic based on medical emergency calls.
Socio-economic assessment of infection control measures
A new report written by an expert group chaired by Steinar Holden and commissioned by the Norwegian Directorate of Health assesses the socio-economic effects of infection control and prevention measures.
Job search behaviour during Covid-19
A recent report by Lena Hensvik, Thomas Le Barbanchon and Roland Rathelot shows that job search on Sweden’s largest job board Platsbanken changed markedly around the time of the outbreak of Covid 19.
Individual welfare costs of stay-at-home orders
In a new paper, SSE-CERN network members Erik Wengström and Ola Andersson with co-authors estimate that a one-month stay-at-home order would give a welfare loss of around 9 percent of Sweden's monthly GDP.
Covid-19 Labor Market Monitoring
A new report by Lena Hensvik and Oskar Nordström Skans contains an early assessment of the labor market impact of Covid 19 and the ensuing economic policy responses in Sweden. The report is written as part of an international Crisis Monitoring Program organized by the IZA.
Real-time analysis using administrative data
Helsinki Graduate School of Economics has set up a "Situation Room" that allows researchers, government and the wider public to perform real-time analysis of the Finnish economy. We asked one of the researchers behind the initiative about it.
IMF’s growth forecasts for non-advanced economies
The IMF’s assessment is that growth will decline by 8.4 percentage points for the advanced economies from 2019 to 2020 and by only 5.3 percentage points for emerging markets and developing economies. What drives the optimistic forecasts made by the IMF for non-advanced economies?
An estimate of the cost of lockdown
A new working paper by researchers at University of Copenhagen and CEPI uses transaction data from a large bank in Scandinavia to estimate the effect of social distancing laws on consumer spending in the COVID-19 pandemic.
Will we learn from this pandemic?
In 2019, the Global Health Security (GHS) Index, a project of the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) and the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security (JHU) developed with The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), found no country was fully prepared for epidemics or pandemics. Collectively, international preparedness was weak. Will Covid-19 change this?
How are mobility levels correlated with Covid-19 transmission rates?
In a new paper Nittai Bergman and Ram Fishman study the correlation between mobility and the spread of Covid 19 across a number of countries.