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Individual welfare costs of stay-at-home orders
28 May 2020
In a new paper, SSE-CERN network members Erik Wengström and Ola Andersson with co-authors estimate that a one-month stay-at-home order would give a welfare loss of around 9 percent of Sweden's monthly GDP.
Covid-19 Labor Market Monitoring
27 May 2020
A new report by Lena Hensvik and Oskar Nordström Skans contains an early assessment of the labor market impact of Covid 19 and the ensuing economic policy responses in Sweden. The report is written as part of an international Crisis Monitoring Program organized by the IZA.
Real-time analysis using administrative data
26 May 2020
Helsinki Graduate School of Economics has set up a "Situation Room" that allows researchers, government and the wider public to perform real-time analysis of the Finnish economy. We asked one of the researchers behind the initiative about it.
IMF’s growth forecasts for non-advanced economies
25 May 2020
The IMF’s assessment is that growth will decline by 8.4 percentage points for the advanced economies from 2019 to 2020 and by only 5.3 percentage points for emerging markets and developing economies. What drives the optimistic forecasts made by the IMF for non-advanced economies?
An estimate of the cost of lockdown
24 May 2020
A new working paper by researchers at University of Copenhagen and CEPI uses transaction data from a large bank in Scandinavia to estimate the effect of social distancing laws on consumer spending in the COVID-19 pandemic.
Will we learn from this pandemic?
19 May 2020
In 2019, the Global Health Security (GHS) Index, a project of the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) and the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security (JHU) developed with The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), found no country was fully prepared for epidemics or pandemics. Collectively, international preparedness was weak. Will Covid-19 change this?
How are mobility levels correlated with Covid-19 transmission rates?
18 May 2020
In a new paper Nittai Bergman and Ram Fishman study the correlation between mobility and the spread of Covid 19 across a number of countries.
Optimizing behavior alters predictions of epidemiological models
15 May 2020
There is a surge of papers in economics that integrate economic models with the canonical epidemiological SIR model. Two recent papers show that incorporating individual decision-making alters key predictions of the SIR model.
How do media affect people’s incentives to comply with lockdown?
13 May 2020
Conservative media coverage during the pandemic affects negatively people’s compliance with the social distancing rules, suggests new US county-level study.
Lessons for Covid-19 from previous pandemics
13 May 2020
Studies on previous pandemic episodes find large and persistent effects on the real economy, meaning GDP, consumption and real rates of return.